Ferrymead Bays vs Dunedin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
27.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
6º
5º
19
7º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferrymead Bays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
FER
3 - 5
COA
21%
19%
61%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
CHR
2 - 3
FER
84%
10%
6%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
UOC
0 - 3
FER
13%
17%
70%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
FCN
1 - 3
FER
82%
13%
6%
|
18 | 61 | 43 | +2 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
NOM
2 - 1
FER
68%
17%
16%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 1
NOM
32%
21%
47%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 0
DUN
91%
6%
3%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
NSF
6 - 2
DUN
60%
19%
21%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
DUN
3 - 0
SUF
83%
11%
7%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
COA
2 - 1
DUN
67%
17%
16%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |