Ferroviarios vs Grecia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
24.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
DPT
0 - 2
FER
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
FER
1 - 0
IMB
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
UCE
3 - 2
FER
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
FER
2 - 0
ROC
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
FER
2 - 0
DEP
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Grecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 2
DEP
43%
27%
31%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
UTC
2 - 0
GRE
46%
26%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
GRE
0 - 0
VAL
48%
27%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
ESP
3 - 2
GRE
50%
24%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 0
MUS
33%
28%
39%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |