Ferroviário vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
35.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
REM
2 - 1
FER
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2020 |
FER
2 - 0
BOT
31%
28%
41%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +2 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
CEA
1 - 0
FER
76%
17%
8%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2020 |
FER
0 - 0
CAU
78%
14%
8%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
PAC
0 - 1
FER
16%
21%
63%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 0
PAY
33%
30%
38%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
MAN
1 - 1
VIL
27%
30%
43%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 0
ANA
58%
25%
18%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
JAR
1 - 0
VIL
16%
20%
64%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 0
GOI
17%
22%
62%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |