Ferroviário vs Manaus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2020 |
TRE
0 - 3
FER
29%
29%
42%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
FER
4 - 0
VIL
35%
29%
36%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
REM
2 - 1
FER
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2020 |
FER
2 - 0
BOT
31%
28%
41%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +2 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
CEA
1 - 0
FER
76%
17%
8%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Manaus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
MAN
2 - 1
PAY
17%
26%
57%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
JAC
1 - 0
MAN
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2020 |
BOT
0 - 0
MAN
72%
18%
10%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
MAN
1 - 1
VIL
27%
30%
43%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
MAN
1 - 1
NAC
66%
21%
14%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |