Ferroviário vs Itapipoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
20.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CEA
1 - 0
FER
73%
18%
10%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
UNI
2 - 2
FER
44%
25%
32%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2017 |
FER
1 - 1
MAR
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 0
FER
34%
26%
40%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 2
FER
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ITA
1 - 1
CEA
10%
18%
72%
|
41 | 66 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ITA
0 - 2
UNI
50%
26%
24%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 2
ITA
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
TIR
2 - 1
ITA
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ITA
1 - 1
MAR
54%
25%
22%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |