Ferroviário vs Itapipoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
38.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
HOR
3 - 0
FER
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
HOR
3 - 1
FER
69%
19%
13%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 0
FER
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
FER
1 - 0
LIM
62%
21%
18%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
FER
0 - 5
CEA
15%
23%
62%
|
46 | 74 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
ITA
2 - 0
GUA
38%
24%
38%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CEA
1 - 0
ITA
71%
19%
10%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
HOR
2 - 1
ITA
62%
21%
18%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CRA
0 - 2
ITA
41%
24%
35%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
TIR
0 - 1
ITA
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |