Ferroviário vs Itapipoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
14.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
FOR
0 - 2
FER
75%
16%
10%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
BOV
1 - 2
FER
33%
24%
43%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
FER
1 - 1
CEA
26%
23%
51%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2009 |
QUI
2 - 3
FER
38%
25%
38%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
FER
0 - 3
HOR
51%
23%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
ICA
4 - 0
ITA
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2009 |
ITA
0 - 0
GUA
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
ITA
3 - 2
QUI
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2009 |
ITA
1 - 1
MAR
44%
24%
31%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
FOR
4 - 1
ITA
82%
12%
6%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | -1 |