Ferroviário vs Itapipoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
8.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
FER
3 - 2
CEA
34%
25%
41%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2005 |
FER
4 - 2
GUA
71%
17%
12%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
FER
0 - 1
QUI
76%
15%
9%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2005 |
ICA
1 - 0
FER
39%
25%
36%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
FOR
1 - 1
FER
67%
20%
14%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
LIM
1 - 1
ITA
30%
23%
47%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2005 |
ITA
4 - 2
QUI
47%
23%
30%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
ITA
1 - 1
GUA
46%
23%
31%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2005 |
UNI
2 - 0
ITA
48%
23%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
ICA
1 - 0
ITA
66%
18%
16%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |