Ferroviário vs Flamengo PI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
TRE
1 - 0
FER
34%
26%
40%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
FER
0 - 1
ALE
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 0
FER
38%
25%
37%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
FER
0 - 0
GUA
55%
22%
23%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
FER
1 - 1
MAR
61%
21%
19%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
ALE
1 - 0
FLA
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
FLA
1 - 1
TRE
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
4DE
0 - 1
FLA
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2009 |
FLA
1 - 0
4DE
42%
24%
34%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
RIV
1 - 2
FLA
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |