Ferroviário vs Barbalha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
20.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
FER
2 - 1
FLO
50%
22%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
HOR
1 - 1
FER
53%
24%
24%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2019 |
FER
4 - 1
IGU
52%
22%
27%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 4
FER
27%
24%
49%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
2 - 0
FER
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Barbalha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 3
BAR
27%
22%
52%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2019 |
BAR
3 - 2
FLO
29%
23%
48%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
HOR
0 - 0
BAR
63%
20%
17%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 1
UNI
31%
24%
45%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 1
BAR
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |