Ferroviário vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
38.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
MAN
4 - 2
FER
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
FER
0 - 2
FLO
62%
23%
15%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
BRA
3 - 1
FER
37%
30%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
ALT
1 - 0
FER
37%
29%
35%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
FER
1 - 2
PAY
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
APA
2 - 2
ABC
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
VOL
0 - 3
APA
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
APA
1 - 0
PAY
34%
28%
39%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 2
APA
57%
25%
18%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
APA
1 - 2
ECS
37%
28%
36%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |