Ferroviário Maputo vs Asante Kotoko analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
30.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário Maputo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
FER
2 - 0
PAS
78%
14%
8%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
PAS
0 - 0
FER
16%
20%
64%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
FER
3 - 0
FER
56%
22%
23%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
FER
0 - 0
FER
36%
24%
40%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
FER
1 - 2
FER
33%
24%
43%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Asante Kotoko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
ASA
3 - 0
AIR
58%
22%
19%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
AIR
1 - 1
ASA
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
FAR
2 - 0
ASA
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
ASA
1 - 0
FAR
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
ASA
1 - 2
HEA
36%
25%
40%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |