Ferroviária vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.5%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
72.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.3%
0-2
16.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
22.5%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
AGU
1 - 3
FER
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
URT
2 - 0
FER
24%
28%
48%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
FER
0 - 2
BAH
57%
24%
18%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
REA
3 - 0
FER
34%
30%
36%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
FER
0 - 0
NVE
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 0
ITU
75%
17%
8%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
GOI
0 - 4
SAO
25%
25%
50%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 1
SCI
48%
27%
25%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FLU
3 - 1
SAO
49%
24%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 2
ATM
36%
27%
37%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |