Ferroviária vs Maringá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
10.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
GRE
0 - 2
FER
24%
29%
47%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
ECA
1 - 0
FER
20%
29%
51%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
FER
1 - 0
JEC
68%
21%
11%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2019 |
COR
1 - 1
FER
67%
22%
10%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
FER
1 - 1
COR
24%
28%
48%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Maringá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
GRE
0 - 2
FER
24%
29%
47%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
JEC
0 - 0
GRE
59%
23%
19%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
GRE
2 - 2
ECA
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
GRE
3 - 0
TCW
40%
26%
33%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
OPE
2 - 0
GRE
69%
19%
12%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |