Ferroviária vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
61.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 1
FER
32%
27%
41%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
LIN
0 - 0
FER
47%
25%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
FER
0 - 1
BOT
58%
25%
18%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
4 - 1
FER
83%
13%
5%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
FER
2 - 0
OES
40%
26%
33%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
FLU
0 - 1
BOT
55%
25%
21%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
FLU
1 - 0
ATP
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
FLU
0 - 1
VAS
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
VOL
0 - 2
FLU
12%
20%
68%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
TOM
0 - 3
FLU
9%
18%
73%
|
81 | 52 | 29 | 0 |