Ferroviária vs Botafogo SP II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
FER
2 - 0
NPR
74%
18%
8%
|
62 | 25 | 37 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
FER
1 - 1
COM
55%
25%
21%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
VEL
0 - 0
FER
32%
27%
41%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
POR
0 - 0
FER
23%
28%
49%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
FER
0 - 0
ATI
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo SP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
BSP
0 - 2
MAR
33%
23%
44%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
RIO
1 - 1
BSP
45%
23%
33%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 0
BSP
71%
17%
12%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
BSP
2 - 2
NOV
11%
16%
74%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
BSP
6 - 1
RIO
33%
23%
43%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |