Ferroviária vs Atlético Sorocaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
35.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
VOT
3 - 2
FER
33%
25%
42%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
FER
1 - 1
BAT
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 0
FER
79%
16%
6%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
VOT
2 - 3
FER
34%
25%
41%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
FER
0 - 1
COM
53%
25%
21%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 1
IND
62%
21%
18%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 0
SAO
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
JUV
0 - 0
ATL
32%
25%
42%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 0
TAU
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 1
ATL
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |