Ferroviária Sub 20 vs São Paulo Sub 20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.5%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.8%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
82.3%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
17.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.7%
0-3
14%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
17.9%
0-4
8.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
10.4%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
FER
4 - 0
PVI
46%
22%
32%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
FER
3 - 0
CAR
41%
22%
38%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
São Paulo Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 3
SAO
10%
14%
76%
|
41 | 5 | 36 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
SAO
5 - 1
PVI
75%
15%
10%
|
41 | 7 | 34 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 3
PAL
28%
25%
47%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
GOI
0 - 1
SAO
35%
25%
40%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 1
FOR
73%
15%
11%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |