Ferrocarril Roca vs Ayacucho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
61.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferrocarril Roca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
ARG
1 - 0
FRR
71%
17%
12%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
FRR
0 - 0
AME
14%
19%
67%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
DCM
1 - 0
FRR
77%
15%
8%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
FRR
1 - 1
LIN
17%
20%
63%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
BRC
2 - 1
FRR
74%
16%
10%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Ayacucho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 0
ARG
62%
20%
18%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 1
GER
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
GER
2 - 0
SAR
41%
24%
35%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Nov. 2015 |
JNJ
1 - 3
SAR
33%
24%
43%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 0
LIN
38%
24%
38%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |