Ferrocarril Roca vs Ferro Carril Sud Olavarria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
38.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferrocarril Roca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
LIN
2 - 2
FRR
43%
24%
33%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
FRR
2 - 2
LIN
54%
22%
24%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
FRR
2 - 0
EVE
46%
22%
32%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
CDC
2 - 0
FRR
80%
14%
6%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
POR
1 - 1
FRR
58%
21%
22%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ferro Carril Sud Olavarria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
FER
2 - 1
BSR
60%
21%
20%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
BSR
2 - 2
FER
30%
24%
46%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
FER
2 - 0
ISC
33%
23%
45%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
AAZ
0 - 4
FER
16%
20%
64%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
FER
3 - 2
HSA
69%
18%
13%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |