Ferrocarril Roca vs Estudiantes Olavarría analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
29.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferrocarril Roca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
RPA
2 - 1
FRR
52%
22%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
FER
0 - 0
FRR
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
FRR
0 - 0
FER
38%
24%
38%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
LIN
2 - 2
FRR
43%
24%
33%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
FRR
2 - 2
LIN
54%
22%
24%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Estudiantes Olavarría
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CEO
3 - 2
RPA
36%
22%
42%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
FER
0 - 0
CEO
62%
20%
18%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
RAO
3 - 0
CEO
61%
20%
19%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
CEO
1 - 0
EMB
38%
23%
39%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2021 |
CEO
0 - 2
FER
38%
24%
38%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |