Ferro General Pico vs Independiente Neuquén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
30.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferro General Pico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
INN
1 - 0
FER
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
ALV
1 - 0
FER
46%
26%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2017 |
FER
0 - 1
VIL
42%
27%
31%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
INN
4 - 2
FER
32%
26%
42%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
FER
1 - 2
DRO
59%
23%
19%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente Neuquén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
INN
1 - 0
FER
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2017 |
DRO
4 - 0
INN
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
INN
4 - 2
FER
32%
26%
42%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 Nov. 2017 |
RIV
1 - 2
INN
48%
26%
26%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
INN
0 - 0
SAN
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |