Ferro General Pico vs Independiente Chivilcoy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferro General Pico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
FER
0 - 1
UNI
28%
25%
47%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
LIB
0 - 0
FER
59%
23%
19%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
FER
0 - 1
TAL
22%
25%
53%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
FER
0 - 0
ALV
47%
27%
27%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
TFE
2 - 2
FER
65%
21%
15%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente Chivilcoy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ALV
0 - 2
IND
63%
22%
15%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
IND
0 - 2
TFE
24%
26%
51%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
DFR
0 - 0
IND
67%
20%
13%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
TAL
2 - 0
IND
83%
12%
6%
|
42 | 65 | 23 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
IND
1 - 2
UNI
24%
25%
52%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | -2 |