Ferro General Pico vs Gutiérrez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
23.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
2º
10º
10º
11
5º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 37 |
1º
|
84.5% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 31 |
2º
|
44% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 26 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 25 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
11 | 23 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 20 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 20 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 20 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 20 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
9 | 20 |
10º
|
17% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
23% | 47% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
77% | 53% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferro General Pico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
JUU
2 - 0
FER
54%
27%
19%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
FER
1 - 2
CSE
43%
27%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
DCM
0 - 1
FER
41%
27%
32%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
FER
0 - 0
ATE
38%
27%
35%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
FER
0 - 0
CIB
23%
27%
51%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Gutiérrez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
GUT
1 - 0
CSE
31%
27%
43%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ATE
1 - 1
GUT
60%
23%
17%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
GUT
0 - 1
HHE
32%
27%
41%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CIB
2 - 1
GUT
72%
19%
9%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
GUT
3 - 1
DDF
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |