Ferro General Pico vs Deportivo Rincón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
34.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
3º
7º
4º
16
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
16 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 12 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 12 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
12 | 12 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 12 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 11 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 6 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 6 |
8º
|
50% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 5 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferro General Pico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
SMA
0 - 0
FER
48%
27%
24%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
FER
0 - 0
HHE
35%
28%
38%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
CDA
1 - 0
FER
62%
22%
16%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
FER
0 - 4
CIB
22%
27%
51%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
GUT
2 - 1
FER
56%
24%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Rincón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
GER
0 - 0
SAU
59%
24%
17%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
SAU
1 - 1
VIL
16%
28%
56%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
RSA
3 - 2
SAU
62%
23%
15%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
SAU
1 - 0
CDC
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
SAU
1 - 0
SAN
39%
27%
35%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |