Ferro General Pico vs Alvarado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
23.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferro General Pico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CGB
1 - 4
FER
30%
27%
43%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
DFR
0 - 1
FER
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2016 |
FER
2 - 0
RIV
48%
26%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
FER
0 - 2
AGR
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ALV
1 - 1
FER
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
AGR
1 - 0
ALV
37%
29%
35%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CGB
0 - 1
ALV
33%
29%
39%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
ALV
2 - 1
DFR
37%
28%
34%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
RIV
1 - 1
ALV
40%
29%
30%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ALV
1 - 1
FER
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |