Ferro General Pico vs Alvarado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
24.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferro General Pico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CGB
2 - 0
FER
31%
26%
43%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2016 |
FER
3 - 0
TIR
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
TFE
0 - 0
FER
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
FER
1 - 1
ALV
48%
26%
26%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 1
FER
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2016 |
ALV
2 - 0
CGB
52%
24%
23%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
GYT
2 - 0
ALV
53%
26%
22%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
ALV
0 - 0
GYT
47%
26%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
DRO
0 - 2
ALV
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
ALV
1 - 0
DRO
57%
23%
19%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |