Ferro General Pico vs Alumni Villa Maria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
28.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferro General Pico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
SRI
2 - 1
FER
20%
24%
57%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
FER
1 - 0
ALI
76%
16%
9%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2013 |
NEW
1 - 1
FER
16%
22%
62%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
FER
0 - 0
EST
38%
26%
37%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
JNE
1 - 3
FER
23%
24%
53%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Alumni Villa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
CAA
1 - 2
SRI
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 0
CAA
18%
24%
58%
|
56 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
CAA
3 - 3
NEW
76%
16%
8%
|
56 | 31 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
EST
2 - 0
CAA
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CAA
1 - 0
JNE
73%
17%
10%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |