Ferro Carril Sud Olavarria vs Tiro Federal Bahia Blanca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
66.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferro Carril Sud Olavarria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
SCS
1 - 0
FER
17%
20%
63%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
FER
2 - 4
VIL
24%
22%
55%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 0
FER
75%
16%
9%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2015 |
FER
0 - 1
SAR
37%
24%
39%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
LIN
4 - 2
FER
60%
20%
20%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tiro Federal Bahia Blanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
TIR
0 - 1
LIN
75%
17%
8%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
TIR
0 - 1
ALV
36%
28%
36%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CGB
0 - 2
TIR
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2016 |
TIR
1 - 4
DFR
25%
27%
47%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
FER
1 - 0
TIR
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |