Ferro Carril Sud Olavarria vs Ayacucho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
42.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferro Carril Sud Olavarria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
IND
2 - 0
FER
71%
18%
11%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2013 |
FER
1 - 1
BEL
38%
24%
38%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
AME
2 - 1
FER
47%
23%
30%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
FER
5 - 2
EVE
72%
16%
11%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
KIM
1 - 0
FER
80%
14%
6%
|
33 | 66 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Ayacucho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
SAR
2 - 0
BEL
50%
23%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
AME
0 - 2
SAR
37%
24%
39%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
SAR
3 - 1
EVE
77%
14%
8%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
KIM
2 - 1
SAR
78%
15%
7%
|
38 | 66 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
SAR
1 - 0
DCM
34%
25%
41%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |