Ferro Carril Sud Olavarria vs Racing Olavarría analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
36.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferro Carril Sud Olavarria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
RAO
1 - 0
FER
47%
25%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
FER
2 - 1
FOR
49%
23%
28%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 0
FER
38%
24%
38%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
CSP
0 - 1
FER
30%
24%
46%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SOV
0 - 0
FER
16%
20%
64%
|
39 | 15 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Olavarría
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
RAO
1 - 0
FER
47%
25%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
RAO
1 - 2
HUR
23%
25%
52%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
HUR
2 - 2
RAO
69%
19%
12%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
RAO
3 - 0
GIT
82%
12%
6%
|
38 | 9 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
EMB
0 - 2
RAO
40%
23%
37%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |