Ferro Carril Sud Olavarria vs Independiente Chivilcoy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
45.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferro Carril Sud Olavarria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
FER
2 - 0
KIM
17%
24%
59%
|
34 | 66 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
BEL
0 - 0
FER
47%
23%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
FER
4 - 1
AME
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
EVE
1 - 0
FER
28%
23%
49%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
DCM
3 - 1
FER
66%
20%
14%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente Chivilcoy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
IND
1 - 1
BEL
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
AME
1 - 0
IND
20%
24%
56%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | -2 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
IND
1 - 0
EVE
76%
16%
8%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
KIM
1 - 0
IND
71%
19%
10%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
IND
1 - 1
DCM
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |