Ferro Carril Oeste vs Guillermo Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.4%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
29.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
GIM
0 - 0
FER
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
CAU
1 - 0
FER
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
FER
1 - 3
TFE
49%
28%
24%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
ATT
0 - 0
FER
54%
25%
22%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
FER
1 - 1
INS
34%
29%
36%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
GBR
1 - 1
MER
58%
24%
19%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
GBR
2 - 0
HUR
76%
16%
9%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2011 |
CEN
0 - 2
GBR
37%
28%
35%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
GBR
2 - 0
SPB
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
TAL
1 - 5
GBR
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |