Ferriolense vs Poblense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
67.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferriolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
ESP
1 - 2
FER
25%
24%
52%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
CDS
2 - 1
FER
36%
25%
39%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
FER
0 - 1
BNS
55%
23%
22%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
SLL
0 - 0
FER
42%
24%
34%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2018 |
FER
0 - 1
LLO
56%
22%
22%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2019 |
COR
1 - 2
PBL
73%
18%
9%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
PBL
2 - 3
MLL
45%
24%
31%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
PBL
2 - 3
ALC
76%
14%
9%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
SNF
0 - 2
PBL
17%
21%
62%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
MER
1 - 1
PBL
9%
18%
73%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | -1 |