Ferriolense vs Poblense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
55%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferriolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
MER
1 - 1
FER
75%
17%
9%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
FER
0 - 0
UDA
42%
27%
32%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
CFP
1 - 1
FER
52%
25%
23%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
FER
1 - 2
CLL
34%
26%
39%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
CON
1 - 0
FER
72%
18%
10%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
PBL
3 - 0
CAM
69%
19%
12%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
PBL
9 - 1
ATL
76%
17%
7%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
PXD
3 - 1
PBL
51%
24%
25%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
PBL
1 - 0
PCE
64%
21%
15%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
SDF
0 - 0
PBL
45%
27%
28%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |