Ferriolense vs Atlético Baleares analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferriolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
MNU
1 - 1
FER
42%
26%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
FER
1 - 2
SLL
73%
16%
11%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2004 |
MHN
0 - 0
FER
27%
26%
48%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
CON
0 - 0
FER
55%
23%
21%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2004 |
FER
2 - 0
PXD
48%
25%
27%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Atlético Baleares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
ATB
1 - 2
ALA
59%
23%
18%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
IBI
1 - 0
ATB
60%
22%
18%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2004 |
SPO
2 - 0
ATB
22%
26%
52%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
PBL
1 - 0
ATB
35%
27%
38%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2004 |
ATB
3 - 1
VIL
46%
26%
28%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |