Ferrera Erbognone vs Cesano Boscone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
13.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferrera Erbognone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
FER
2 - 2
LOM
33%
23%
44%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
BRE
1 - 1
FER
52%
22%
26%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
FER
1 - 3
ASS
66%
19%
16%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
FRO
3 - 2
FER
50%
22%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
FER
3 - 3
ACC
51%
22%
27%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cesano Boscone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
CES
1 - 0
SIZ
77%
15%
9%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CES
0 - 0
ACC
29%
23%
49%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
COR
1 - 2
CES
18%
21%
62%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CES
0 - 0
ACC
34%
24%
42%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
BOR
0 - 0
CES
56%
21%
23%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |