Fernwald vs Unter-Flockenbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5.8%
4-3
2.2%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
3.4%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
18.5%
25.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
1º
5º
1º
41
9º
17º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
59 | 59 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 58 |
7º
|
52.5% | |
|
7º
|
57 | 57 |
8º
|
52.5% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 53 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
50 | 50 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
47 | 47 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
46 | 46 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
45 | 46 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 42 |
14º
|
64% | |
|
|
15º
|
41 | 41 |
15º
|
64% | |
|
16º
|
38 | 38 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 34 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
28 | 28 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
18 | 18 |
19º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 36% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 64% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
FCH
3 - 5
FER
33%
23%
44%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
FER
2 - 2
STE
71%
16%
13%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
TUR
3 - 1
FER
71%
17%
12%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FER
3 - 0
BAU
34%
25%
41%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +3 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
HUN
3 - 2
FER
48%
22%
30%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Unter-Flockenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2024 |
EWM
3 - 3
SUF
12%
15%
73%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ROD
1 - 2
SUF
9%
12%
79%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SUF
3 - 0
FFV
89%
8%
4%
|
34 | 7 | 27 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
BGW
3 - 3
SUF
9%
13%
78%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SUF
7 - 3
SFS
74%
15%
12%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |