Fernwald vs Adler Weidenhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.2%
16.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
8º
17º
8º
50
8º
18º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
71 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 63 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FCE
2 - 1
FER
43%
22%
35%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FER
2 - 1
HSC
81%
11%
7%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
WAL
3 - 3
FER
30%
22%
48%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FER
2 - 0
RWW
46%
22%
33%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +3 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
BAY
2 - 1
FER
42%
23%
35%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Adler Weidenhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SVA
1 - 1
EIN
24%
21%
55%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FCE
2 - 2
SVA
63%
18%
19%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SVA
5 - 0
FCH
26%
21%
53%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +3 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
HSC
2 - 0
SVA
14%
17%
70%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
SVA
0 - 0
STE
31%
21%
48%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |