Fernwald vs Bruchkobel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
43.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
BUC
3 - 0
FER
70%
18%
12%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
FER
1 - 1
VEL
32%
25%
43%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
VIK
1 - 1
FER
80%
13%
8%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
FER
0 - 3
BAY
39%
25%
37%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
WOR
1 - 1
FER
67%
20%
13%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Bruchkobel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
VEL
2 - 4
SGB
59%
21%
21%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
SGB
3 - 2
BAY
49%
24%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
GOR
2 - 1
SGB
32%
25%
44%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
SGB
1 - 0
WAT
78%
15%
8%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
SWM
3 - 1
SGB
43%
24%
34%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |