Fernwald vs Klein-Karben analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
39.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
FRA
2 - 3
FER
41%
24%
35%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
FER
2 - 0
WEH
38%
25%
37%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
BAU
4 - 3
FER
65%
19%
16%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2007 |
FER
2 - 2
WAL
36%
24%
40%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
WUR
0 - 2
FER
51%
22%
27%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Klein-Karben
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2007 |
KKA
0 - 0
VIK
41%
26%
33%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
EIW
0 - 0
KKA
25%
22%
53%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2007 |
KKA
1 - 4
FRA
69%
19%
12%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2007 |
KKA
1 - 0
WEH
47%
24%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2007 |
BAU
5 - 0
KKA
37%
24%
39%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -3 |