Fernwald vs Bad Vilbel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
43.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2005 |
KKA
3 - 1
FER
61%
21%
18%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
FER
1 - 0
SGB
32%
25%
43%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
BUC
3 - 0
FER
70%
18%
12%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
FER
1 - 1
VEL
32%
25%
43%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
VIK
1 - 1
FER
80%
13%
8%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Bad Vilbel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2005 |
SGB
2 - 2
FVB
46%
24%
30%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
FVB
0 - 2
VEL
59%
22%
19%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
BAY
0 - 2
FVB
43%
24%
33%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2005 |
FVB
1 - 1
GOR
70%
17%
13%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
WAT
1 - 5
FVB
18%
22%
60%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |