Fernwald vs Dietkirchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.2%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
9.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
8º
17º
8º
24
16º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
71 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 63 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
VIK
1 - 1
FER
29%
22%
49%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
FER
1 - 4
GIE
30%
22%
48%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -2 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
FER
1 - 1
EIS
77%
14%
10%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
FER
0 - 6
STE
8%
15%
77%
|
33 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
BAU
2 - 0
FER
35%
23%
42%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Dietkirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
DIE
1 - 4
FCE
26%
22%
52%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
HSC
2 - 0
DIE
6%
12%
82%
|
25 | 10 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
BUR
2 - 0
DIE
8%
12%
79%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
DIE
1 - 4
ENG
29%
24%
47%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
FRA
3 - 2
DIE
80%
13%
6%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | 0 |