Fernandópolis vs Santacruzense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernandópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
TAN
2 - 0
FER
29%
22%
49%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
VOC
3 - 0
FER
61%
22%
17%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
FER
1 - 2
PEN
17%
22%
61%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
TUP
1 - 2
FER
42%
25%
33%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 2
FER
29%
25%
46%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 3
VOC
15%
26%
60%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
PEN
7 - 0
SAN
80%
14%
7%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
TAN
4 - 0
SAN
38%
23%
39%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 2
FER
29%
25%
46%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
VOC
3 - 0
SAN
69%
19%
12%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |