Fernandópolis vs Matonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernandópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
CAT
3 - 0
FER
34%
23%
42%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
FER
1 - 1
MAR
27%
27%
46%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 0
FER
59%
23%
19%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
FER
3 - 0
RIO
30%
27%
43%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
RIO
2 - 1
FER
51%
25%
24%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Matonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
MAT
2 - 0
AME
68%
20%
12%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
MAT
0 - 1
BEB
45%
24%
31%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
FRA
1 - 0
MAT
65%
20%
15%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
MAT
0 - 0
ECN
33%
24%
42%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
GDS
2 - 0
MAT
18%
18%
64%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | -2 |