Fernando de la Mora vs Dep. Capiatá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.9%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
24.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernando de la Mora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 2
FER
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
FER
1 - 1
SPC
39%
28%
34%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
DEP
1 - 1
FER
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
FER
2 - 1
SPT
40%
28%
31%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 0
FER
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Dep. Capiatá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
DEP
1 - 2
CER
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
RPA
2 - 0
DEP
60%
24%
17%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
DEP
1 - 1
GEN
57%
23%
19%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
DEP
2 - 1
CAR
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SPC
1 - 0
DEP
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |