Fernando de la Mora vs Benjamin Aceval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
18.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernando de la Mora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
IND
0 - 1
FER
60%
22%
17%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
FER
1 - 1
CER
35%
27%
39%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
COL
2 - 0
FER
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
FER
1 - 1
PET
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
SPT
1 - 1
FER
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Benjamin Aceval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
BEN
1 - 3
PET
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
SPT
2 - 0
BEN
65%
22%
13%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
GEN
2 - 1
BEN
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
BEN
3 - 5
SPO
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
CAC
1 - 0
BEN
65%
22%
14%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |