Fernando de la Mora vs Benjamin Aceval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
32.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernando de la Mora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
FER
2 - 2
RÑU
29%
28%
43%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
BEN
0 - 1
FER
59%
23%
19%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
FER
0 - 1
SPO
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
COL
2 - 3
FER
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
CER
2 - 1
FER
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Benjamin Aceval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
GEN
3 - 0
BEN
58%
24%
19%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
BEN
0 - 1
FER
59%
23%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
GEN
0 - 1
BEN
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
BEN
1 - 0
SPT
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
RÑU
1 - 0
BEN
60%
22%
17%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |