Fernández Vial vs Independiente Cauquenes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernández Vial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
CHG
1 - 1
FVC
29%
27%
44%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
FVC
3 - 0
DSC
61%
21%
17%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
PIN
1 - 2
FVC
33%
26%
41%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
FVC
2 - 1
GVE
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
FVC
0 - 2
ENF
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente Cauquenes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
CAU
4 - 3
DSC
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2013 |
PIN
2 - 1
CAU
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
CAU
1 - 0
GVE
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2013 |
ENF
0 - 1
CAU
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
CHG
1 - 1
CAU
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |