Fernández Vial vs General Velásquez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
12.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernández Vial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
FVC
2 - 0
CDP
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
LAU
1 - 0
FVC
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
FVC
4 - 2
TOM
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
LIM
2 - 3
FVC
25%
24%
51%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
JOA
1 - 1
FVC
44%
27%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
General Velásquez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
GVE
3 - 2
TAL
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
ACC
3 - 1
GVE
44%
25%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
GVE
2 - 0
EST
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
JUV
0 - 6
GVE
23%
23%
54%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
GVE
1 - 2
DER
30%
25%
46%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |